文章来源:未知 文章作者:enread 发布时间:2020-07-31 08:19 字体: [ ]  进入论坛
Global air travel won't recover from the Covid-19 crisis until 2024, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced Tuesday.
That's a year later than the airline body's previous projection1.
The body, which represents 290 airlines, blamed the sluggish2 recovery on a number of factors, including a lack of consumer confidence, the decline in business travel, and fresh coronavirus spikes3 in the United States and elsewhere.
The revised baseline forecast is that international passenger traffic will drop 55% in 2020, compared to 2019. Back in April, the IATA had predicted the drop to be just 46%.
Passenger numbers are expected to rise 62% next year, but will still be down almost 30% compared to pre-Covid times, with a full recovery to pre-pandemic levels not on the cards until four years from now.
"Passenger traffic hit bottom in April, but the strength of the upturn4 has been very weak," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA's director general and CEO in a statement. "What improvement we have seen has been domestic flying."
Unsurprisingly, short-haul travel is expected to recover faster than long-haul -- due to passenger comfort levels, but also because international markets remain largely closed.
"Consumer confidence is depressed5 and not helped by the UK's weekend decision to impose a blanket quarantine on all travelers returning from Spain," said de Juniac.
The British government made a surprise U-turn on its UK-Spain travel corridor on Saturday, reinstating with immediate6 effect its 14-day quarantine for all travelers arriving from the popular tourist destination, following a rise in coronavirus cases in the country.
Many British holidaymakers -- who'd jetted off shortly after schools broke up for summer -- were caught out by the decision. British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab defended the move, telling Sky News that it "took the decision as swiftly as we could, and we can't apologize for doing so."
In terms of countries' domestic traffic, China's airlines are leading the recovery, with traffic down 35.5% in June compared to the 2019 period, up from a 46.3% decline in May.
The IATA says that scientific advances in fighting Covid-19, including the development of a successful vaccine7, could allow for a speedier recovery. But for now, the future is looking bleak8.
"In many parts of the world infections are still rising," said IATA's de Juniac. "All of this points to a longer recovery period and more pain for the industry and the global economy."
With airlines struggling financially, governments will need to continue relief measures to stop carriers going under, said the airline body.
"Summer -- our industry's busiest season -- is passing by rapidly," said de Juniac. He said that there was "little chance for an upswing in international air travel unless governments move quickly and decisively to find alternatives to border closures, confidence-destroying stop-start re-openings and demand-killing quarantine."


1 projection 9Rzxu     
  • Projection takes place with a minimum of awareness or conscious control.投射在最少的知觉或意识控制下发生。
  • The projection of increases in number of house-holds is correct.对户数增加的推算是正确的。
2 sluggish VEgzS     
  • This humid heat makes you feel rather sluggish.这种湿热的天气使人感到懒洋洋的。
  • Circulation is much more sluggish in the feet than in the hands.脚部的循环比手部的循环缓慢得多。
3 spikes jhXzrc     
n.穗( spike的名词复数 );跑鞋;(防滑)鞋钉;尖状物v.加烈酒于( spike的第三人称单数 );偷偷地给某人的饮料加入(更多)酒精( 或药物);把尖状物钉入;打乱某人的计划
  • a row of iron spikes on a wall 墙头的一排尖铁
  • There is a row of spikes on top of the prison wall to prevent the prisoners escaping. 监狱墙头装有一排尖钉,以防犯人逃跑。 来自《简明英汉词典》
4 upturn 8jdwQ     
  • Experts have forecast an upturn in the stock market.专家已预测股票市场价格有上升趋势。
  • The economy is experiencing an upturn.经济正在好转。
5 depressed xu8zp9     
  • When he was depressed,he felt utterly divorced from reality.他心情沮丧时就感到完全脱离了现实。
  • His mother was depressed by the sad news.这个坏消息使他的母亲意志消沉。
6 immediate aapxh     
  • His immediate neighbours felt it their duty to call.他的近邻认为他们有责任去拜访。
  • We declared ourselves for the immediate convocation of the meeting.我们主张立即召开这个会议。
7 vaccine Ki1wv     
  • The polio vaccine has saved millions of lives.脊髓灰质炎疫苗挽救了数以百万计的生命。
  • She takes a vaccine against influenza every fall.她每年秋季接种流感疫苗。
8 bleak gtWz5     
  • They showed me into a bleak waiting room.他们引我来到一间阴冷的会客室。
  • The company's prospects look pretty bleak.这家公司的前景异常暗淡。