时间管理能力是动物生存的首要因素

Many animals may have a previously¹ under-appreciated ability to make up for lost time with more effort, according to new research publishing this week in PLOS Computational Biology. This capability² could help scientists better understand how animals make efficient decisions in changing environments -- and ultimately help ensure the survival of a species.

 

Researchers from Princeton University challenge the conventional view that animals face a simple trade-off between the speed and the accuracy of their decisions. Adrian de Froment, Daniel Rubenstein and Simon Levin instead suggest that this picture of a two-way trade-off is missing a crucial third component³: an ability to expend⁴ effort at a greater rate to compensate⁵ for any limit to the time spent making a decision.

 

The researchers use the theory of statistical⁶ decision-making to show that if an animal can control not only the time it invests in each decision, but also the amount of effort it invests within each unit of time, then it can swap⁷ effort for time as the situation demands. For example, if an animal comes under pressure to decide quickly, it can limit any loss in accuracy by expending⁸ more effort in the time that remains⁹.

 

This flexibility¹⁰ gives an animal an advantage, in terms of Darwinian fitness, over individuals that are stuck with a simple trade-off between speed and accuracy, the researchers report. Because of this fitness advantage, the authors predict that the ability to control investment of time and effort separately should be widespread in nature.

 

Further work is needed to test this prediction, but if it is borne out, then this updated view of a three-way exchange between speed, effort per-unit-time, and accuracy could improve our understanding of efficient decision-making in all species, including humans.

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