计算机模型下二氧化碳的新面貌

An ultra-high-resolution NASA computer model has given scientists a stunning¹ new look at how carbon dioxide in the atmosphere travels around the globe. Plumes² of carbon dioxide in the simulation swirl³ and shift as winds disperse⁴ the greenhouse gas away from its sources. The simulation also illustrates⁵ differences in carbon dioxide levels in the northern and southern hemispheres and distinct swings in global carbon dioxide concentrations as the growth cycle of plants and trees changes with the seasons.

 

Scientists have made ground-based measurements of carbon dioxide for decades and in July NASA launched the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) satellite to make global, space-based carbon observations. But the simulation -- the product of a new computer model that is among the highest-resolution ever created -- is the first to show in such fine detail how carbon dioxide actually moves through the atmosphere.

 

"While the presence of carbon dioxide has dramatic global consequences, it's fascinating to see how local emission⁶ sources and weather systems produce gradients of its concentration on a very regional scale," said Bill Putman, lead scientist on the project from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland. "Simulations like this, combined with data from observations, will help improve our understanding of both human emissions⁷ of carbon dioxide and natural fluxes⁸ across the globe."

 

The carbon dioxide visualization⁹ was produced by a computer model called GEOS-5, created by scientists at NASA Goddard's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office. In particular, the visualization is part of a simulation called a "Nature Run." The Nature Run ingests real data on atmospheric¹⁰ conditions and the emission of greenhouse gases and both natural and man-made particulates¹¹. The model is then is left to run on its own and simulate the natural behavior of the Earth's atmosphere. This Nature Run simulates May 2005 to June 2007.

 

While Goddard scientists have been tweaking a "beta" version of the Nature Run internally for several years, they are now releasing this updated, improved version to the scientific community for the first time. Scientists are presenting a first look at the Nature Run and the carbon dioxide visualization at the SC14 supercomputing conference this week in New Orleans.

 

"We're very excited to share this revolutionary dataset with the modeling and data assimilation community," Putman said, "and we hope the comprehensiveness of this product and its ground-breaking resolution will provide a platform for research and discovery throughout the Earth science community."

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