火山喷发与寒冷天气的关系

Medieval chronicles have given an international group of researchers a glimpse into the past to assess how historical volcanic¹ eruptions³ affected⁴ the weather in Ireland up to 1500 years ago. By critically assessing over 40,000 written entries in the Irish Annals and comparing them with measurements taken from ice cores, the researchers successfully linked the climatic aftermath of volcanic eruptions to extreme cold weather events in Ireland over a 1200-year period from 431 to 1649.

 

Their study, which has been published today, 6 June, in IOP Publishing's journal Environmental Research Letters, showed that over this timescale up to 48 explosive volcanic eruptions could be identified in the Greenland Ice Sheet Project (GISP2) ice-core, which records the deposition⁵（沉积物） of volcanic sulfate in annual layers of ice.

 

Of these 48 volcanic events, 38 were associated, closely in time, with 37 extreme cold events, which were identified by systematically⁷ examining written entries in the Irish Annals and picking out directly observed meteorological phenomena⁸ and conditions, such as heavy snowfall and frost, prolonged ice covering lakes and rivers, and contemporary descriptions of abnormally cold weather.

 

Lead author of the study, Dr Francis Ludlow, from the Harvard University Center for the Environment and Department of History, said: "It's clear that the scribes of the Irish Annals were diligent⁹ reporters of severe cold weather, most probably because of the negative impacts this had on society and the biosphere¹⁰.

 

"Our major result is that explosive volcanic eruptions are strongly, and persistently¹¹, implicated¹² in the occurrence of cold weather events over this long timescale in Ireland. In their severity, these events are quite rare for the country's mild maritime¹³ climate."

 

Through the injection of sulphur dioxide gas into the stratosphere, volcanic eruptions can play a significant role in the regulation of the Earth's climate. Sulphur dioxide gas is converted into sulphate（硫酸盐） aerosol¹⁴ particles after eruptions which reflect incoming sunlight and result in an overall temporary cooling of the Earth's surface.

 

Whilst the global effects of recent eruptions are quite well-known, such as the Mount Pinatubo eruption² almost 22 years ago (15 June 1991), less is known about their effects on climate before the beginning of instrumental weather recording¹⁵, or their effects on regional scales; the Irish Annals provided an opportunity to explore both of these issues.

 

The Irish Annals contain over one million written words and around 40,000 distinct written entries, detailing major historical events on an annual basis, and providing both systematic⁶ and sustained reporting of meteorological extremes.

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