全球经济发展放缓

The global economic recovery is slowing faster than forecast, but a return to recession is unlikely, a leading global economic group has said.

一个主要的全球经济团体称，全球经济复苏比预期值要慢的多，但尚不至于重现衰退局面。

The Organisation¹ for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said the slowdown had been more "pronounced than anticipated".

As a result, it lowered its growth forecast for 2010 for the G7 leading economies to 1.5%, down from 1.75%.

It added the economic outlook was characterised by "great uncertainty²".

"The uncertainty is caused by a combination of factors, but it is unlikely that we are heading into another downturn," said the OECD's chief economist³ Pier⁴ Carlo Padoan.

US growth

The group said consumer spending could remain weak, while concerns about high levels of government debt were also serving to constrain⁵（驱使，强迫） growth.

Against this, the group reported more stable financial conditions and strong corporate⁶ profits.

It forecast growth in the US at an annualised（年度的） rate of 2% between August and October, then 1.2% in the final three months of the year.

In the second quarter of this year, the US economy grew at an annualised pace of 1.6%.

The group also forecast a sharp slowdown in some leading European economies, with Germany, France and Italy together growing at an annualised rate of 0.4% in the third quarter and 0.6% in the fourth.

This would represent a sharp turnaround from the second quarter, when some leading European economies grew at a faster pace than the US.

The UK, however, is set for stronger growth than the US, according to OECD forecasts. Its economy could grow by 2.7% between August and October, and by 1.5% in the final quarter, the group said.