China might see an "imported soft landing" next year, Morgan Stanley

时间：2007-12-06 08:29:18

（单词翻译:单击）

Chinanews, Beijing, Dec. 6 – The sluggish1 demand from foreign markets, instead of policy guidance, will make Chinese economy take a soft landing in autumn next year. In spite of this, Chinese GDP will maintain a 10% growth next year as boosted by a continued growth in consumption and investment at home, said Wang Qing, chief economist2 at Morgan Stanley, in a report on Tuesday.

 

According to this report, there will be 60% possibility for Chinese economy to take an "imported soft landing" in autumn as a result of sluggish demand from foreign markets, 25% of possibility for the economy to become overheated in summer, 10% of possibility for the economy to take a soft landing in spring as a result of policy guidance, and 5% of possibility for it to take a direct hard landing in winter.

 

“The fast increasing export volume has made China vulnerable to the changes occurring in major industrial nations. We expect that in 2008, Chinese export, which has maintained a 30% high annual growth for several consecutive3 years, will start to slow down,” said Wang.

 

The past experiences had shown that when export slowed down, deflation would occur, he said.

 

The report predicts that, if “imported soft landing” does occur, the actual GDP growth will reach 10% next year and CPI growth will reach 4%. Meanwhile, the growths for import and export will reach 18% and 16%, respectively.

 
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1 sluggish VEgzS     
adj.懒惰的，迟钝的，无精打采的
参考例句：
  • This humid heat makes you feel rather sluggish.这种湿热的天气使人感到懒洋洋的。
  • Circulation is much more sluggish in the feet than in the hands.脚部的循环比手部的循环缓慢得多。
2 economist AuhzVs     
n.经济学家，经济专家，节俭的人
参考例句：
  • He cast a professional economist's eyes on the problem.他以经济学行家的眼光审视这个问题。
  • He's an economist who thinks he knows all the answers.他是个经济学家，自以为什么都懂。
3 consecutive DpPz0     
adj.连续的，联贯的，始终一贯的
参考例句：
  • It has rained for four consecutive days.已连续下了四天雨。
  • The policy of our Party is consecutive.我党的政策始终如一。

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