冰川融化速度快于以往任何时候

The World Glacier¹ Monitoring Service, domiciled at the University of Zurich, has compiled worldwide data on glacier changes for more than 120 years. Together with its National Correspondents in more than 30 countries, the international service just published a new comprehensive analysis of global glacier changes in the Journal of Glaciology. In this study, observations of the first decade of the 21st century (2001-2010) were compared to all available earlier data from in-situ, air-borne, and satellite-borne observations as well as to reconstructions² from pictorial³ and written sources. The observed glaciers⁴ currently lose between half a metre and one metre of its ice thickness every year - this is two to three times more than the corresponding average of the 20th century, explains Michael Zemp, Director of the World Glacier Monitoring Service and lead author of the study. &laquoExact measurements of this ice loss are reported from a few hundred glaciers only. However, these results are qualitatively⁵ confirmed from field and satellite-based observations for tens of thousands of glaciers around the world.

 

According to the international author team, the current rate of glacier melt is without precedence at global scale, at least for the time period observed and probably also for recorded history, as indicated also in reconstructions from written and illustrated⁶ documents. In addition, the study shows that the long-term retreat of glacier tongues is a global phenomenon. Intermittent⁷ re?advance periods at regional and decadal scales are normally restricted to a subsample of glaciers and have not come close to achieving the Little Ice Age maximum positions reached between the 16th and 19th century. As such, glacier tongues in Norway have retreated by some kilometres from its maximum extents in the 19th century. The intermittent re-advances of the 1990s were restricted to glaciers in the coastal⁸ area and to a few hundred metres.

 

In addition, the study indicates that the intense ice loss of the past two decades has resulted in a strong imbalance of glaciers in many regions of the world. &laquoThese glaciers will suffer further ice loss, even if climate remains⁹ stable», explains Michael Zemp.

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